Key Takeaways
Can ADA reach $5?
It could eye $5 in the long run, but it must reclaim $1.3 and $2 as support
What could drive the rally?
ETF inflows could be a crucial factor. And the Futures market was not overheated yet to warrant caution amongst bulls.
Cardano [ADA] has been playing for the long haul, and now, some asset managers like Grayscale and Hashdex seek to open it up for institutional investors via ETFs.
Unlike most Layer 1 (L1) chains, Cardano opted for a scientific approach to its development, with several peer-reviewed papers before adopting network changes.
IOHK (Input Output Hong Kong), the firm behind Cardano, has collaborated and co-researched papers before formally adopting them into network frameworks.
It’s proof-of-stake (POS), Ouroboros, leveraged this scientific route for a solid and secure system.
Although this could slow down the pace of shipping new features, it allows it to play the long game. But will price catch up to its good tech?
A multi-year compression and path towards $5
For five years, the ADA price has compressed within a triangle channel, which could fuel further upside in case of a bullish breakout.
Source: ADA/USDT, TradingView
But before eyeing $5, the crucial targets to clear would be $2, $3 (previous all-time high) and $4. The reasonable target in the mid-term would $1.3 and $2, as marked by the extended Fibonacci retracement tool.
In mid-term, the $0.80 and $0.53 were also crucial supports, as shown on the weekly charts.
Source: ADA/USDT, TradingView
Given that the weekly RSI was yet to print another overheated signal, ADA may have more room for growth from its current levels of 0.88.
Collectively, the above charts suggested that ADA could tag $1.3 or $2 in the mid-term if the $0.80 support is defended.
Futures market supports recovery
Additionally, the Futures market was far from triggering an overheated signal to warrant panic at current levels.
The last time the signal (red bubbles) was flashed in 2023 and 2024, ADA entered a local top and saw a correction of 60% on average.
Source: CryptoQuant
As of press time, the metric was in a ‘cooling’ phase, meaning there was less froth and FOMO from leverage players chasing the recovery.
Typically, this tends to be favorable for an extended uptrend, provided the market sentiment remains positive.
Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion