The Week That Was: 2025-11-08 (November 8, 2025)
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Policy Project
Quote of the Week: “Without Freedom of Thought there can be no such Thing as Wisdom; and no such Thing as Public Liberty, without Freedom of Speech” — Benjamin Franklin (1722)
Number of the Week: $1.3 Trillion a year
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)
Scope: This TWTW begins with a continuation of the interview of Richard Lindzen and William Happer by Joe Rogan, emphasizing the problems of climate modeling. TWTW discusses claims made by The Lancet regarding weather events which are contradicted by physical evidence. It then gives an example of how slightly false claims snowball into major false claims. TWTW concludes with a surprise announcement by Bill Gates.
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Modeling the Climate: Last week, TWTW discussed an interview of Richard Lindzen and William Happer by Joe Rogan. In the same interview Lindzen and Happer discussed the difficulty of modeling the climate – a difficulty that politicians and those who promote fear of a gradually warming world do not understand. After discussing Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont who enthusiastically supports funding of climate science the transcript reads [lightly edited, boldface in body of text added]:
BEGIN QUOTE
The Challenge of Scientific Complexity in Democratic Decision-Making
JOE ROGAN: I think he’s, overall, a very good person [Bernie Sanders]. I really do. And I think he would have been a fascinating president, but I think there are too many things to concentrate on in the world. And if you really want to do a deep dive into the actual science of climate and CO2’s impact on climate and what actually causes us to get warmer or colder, that’s a lot of work. It’s a lot of work. And I don’t know if the Senator of Vermont has enough time to do that work and to really do it objectively or to talk to someone like you, to have an informed conversation with someone who’s studied it for decades and go, “Okay, there’s a lot more to this than I thought.” And why does it fit in the same pattern where people get attached to an idea because that idea is attached to their ideology.
RICHARD LINDZEN: But you’re hitting on a problem. And Will knows this as well. A lot of this stuff is actually tough material.
JOE ROGAN: Yes.
RICHARD LINDZEN: For instance, the question of what determines the temperature difference between the tropics and the poles, that’s actually handled in a third-year graduate course. It deals with hydrodynamic instability, which is a complicated subject, and it’s a real problem in a field. It’s true throughout science where you’re trusting people to behave decently, but that material itself is not going to be entirely accessible to everyone and how you deal with it, how you approximate it. The same is true with nuclear power, with other things. These are technical issues. They’re not trivial. And you’re asking in a democratic society for people to make decisions. It’s a tough issue. It involves a certain amount of trust. And what we’re describing is a situation where the trust is being violated.
WILLIAM HAPPER: There’s this nice Russian proverb that Ronald Reagan loved so much: “Trust but verify.” And it’s hard to verify, if you’re an average citizen, something about climate.
The Problem of Public Understanding and Activism
JOE ROGAN: Right. That’s what’s so frustrating about this conversation, when you have it with people that are indoctrinated they’re like, “Climate change is a giant issue.” There are so many times I’ve seen very fun YouTube videos where they catch people at these protests, and some joker just starts interviewing them and they clearly don’t know what the hell they’re protesting for. You left the house like you had nothing better to do. You don’t know why you’re protesting, but you’re there and you have a sign, and you still don’t even understand it. That’s how powerful this thing has become in our society. And the fact that they’ve been so successful at pushing this narrative that it’s one of the number one anxieties that young people have about the future in a place where we may very well be involved in wars. But the war doesn’t freak them out as much as being involved in a climate emergency.
RICHARD LINDZEN: “How dare you?”
WILLIAM HAPPER: Right, there you go.
RICHARD LINDZEN: But you notice how quickly she changed.
JOE ROGAN: She flipped up. Now it’s Palestine. You have got to mix it up. People get bored with the climate; you have got to listen. You want to be someone that’s in the news; you have got to keep moving. You have got to keep it moving. You stop doing rap music, start acting, you have got to keep it moving. And that’s, she’s an entertainer. Well, she had a very unfortunate experience with that blockade in Israel, so maybe she’s out of the business now, but I doubt it. But when you’re taking a 16-year-old kid and having her as a face of climate change, and as you said, this is something insanely difficult to digest for the average person and she doesn’t have this data at her fingertips.
The Reality of Climate Models vs. Political Narratives
RICHARD LINDZEN: It’s not just digest. I mean, it’s how many people can solve partial differential equations. This is one of the complaints I have, which is sort of odd. People blame this on models. And what the models are doing is they’re taking the equations of fluid mechanics, something called the Navier Stokes equation, and they’re doing it by dividing it into discrete intervals and seeing how things change with distance and time and so on. And one of the things that we know is that no one has ever proven that this actually leads to the solution, but it’s used for weather forecasting and all sorts of things.
At any rate, they do this, and I think many of the people doing it are doing it carefully or as carefully as they can, and they get answers that will often be wrong. But as best I can tell, none of these models predict catastrophe. Koonin made the point, I think correctly, that even with the UN’s models, you’re talking about a 3% reduction in national product or gross domestic product by 2100. That’s not a great deal. It’s not the end of the earth. You’re already much richer than you are today, so what’s the panic? And it’s true, the models don’t give you anything to be that panicked over. So, the politicians and the environmentalists invent extreme descriptions that actually don’t have much to do with the models, but they blame the models. So, it’s a confusing situation. The models have a use; they just shouldn’t be used to predict exactly what the future is. You can use them to see what interacts with what and then study it further.
The Mathematical Complexity of Climate Science
WILLIAM HAPPER: Joe, let me just say a little more about what Dick commented on. Navier Stokes equation, which describes fluid motion, the atmosphere, and the oceans. And it really is a very hard mathematical problem to solve because they’re not only partial differential equations, but they are what are called nonlinear partial differential equations. And so, there’s a joke about Werner Heisenberg, who was [one of] the inventors of quantum mechanics, a very bright guy, and he was the head of the Nazi atomic bomb program during World War II. He was captured by the Americans and the British, and because of this activity, was forbidden to work on nuclear physics later after the victory.
He decided to work on fluid mechanics, on solving the Navier Stokes equation. And he was, as I said, a tremendously talented physicist, but he found it very hard. He didn’t make very much progress because it’s much harder than quantum mechanics or much harder than relativity to solve those equations. One of his students supposedly said to him, “Well, Professor Heisenberg, they say that if you’ve been a good physicist when you die and you go to heaven, that the Almighty allows you to ask two questions, and he will answer any question you ask. What will you ask him?” Heisenberg supposedly said, “Well, I will ask him why general relativity and why turbulence?” Turbulence is the Navier Stokes equation, he says. “And I think he will be able to answer the first one.”
JOE ROGAN: That’s funny. And this is what’s the best assumption or the best measurements of what’s controlling the temperature on Earth?
WILLIAM HAPPER: Well, they’re asking you to have great confidence in a calculation involving this miserable equation that is so hard to solve, at least very far into the future. You can solve it for a short time, but it’s very hard to go much further. One of Dick’s colleagues at MIT, a man named Lorenz. Why don’t you tell him about Lorenz?
Chaos Theory and Climate Predictability
RICHARD LINDZEN: Well, Lorenz is credited with chaos theory, but basically it’s a statement that these are not predictable. Whether that’s true or not is still an open question, but it has a lot of those characteristics in detail. For instance, it wouldn’t be a surprise if you’re looking at a bubbling brook and you have all those little eddies and so on. Are you actually able to track the whole thing accurately? Probably not. How accurately would you have to do it? If you scaled it up to climate, who knows?
WILLIAM HAPPER: The typical description of this theory was that it’s as though a butterfly flapping its wings in the Gulf of Alaska causes hurricanes two years later in Florida.
JOE ROGAN: That funny. People repeat that and they’re like, “No, that’s not how it works at all.”
WILLIAM HAPPER: I don’t think it works at all.
JOE ROGAN: It’s funny when people like to do it.
RICHARD LINDZEN: Well, what he meant was rather simpler than that. The hurricane is likely to occur. The flipping of a butterfly’s wings might have actually changed it from one day to another. It wouldn’t. It would have an influence downstream.
Germany’s Energy Policy as a Cautionary Tale
JOE ROGAN: Everything has an influence. Everything is tied in together. Now, when we make models based on incorrect data about CO2 levels and what the temperature in the future is going to look like, at what point in time do you think another country needs to screw up the same way Nazi Germany ran with eugenics and it ruined eugenics in the United States, where they’re like, “Oh, my God, this is a horrific idea.” Do you think something like that has to happen in another country where they have to take this climate change, green energy thing to its full end?
WILLIAM HAPPER: I don’t think that’s how it will end. I think Britain or Germany may be the sacrificial country because Germany has shut off all of their nuclear power plants.
JOE ROGAN: Oh, God. And they did it all for green energy.
RICHARD LINDZEN: That makes no sense.
WILLIAM HAPPER: Well, I think they did it because of the Fukushima thing and because the Green Party is so powerful in Germany, and they not only turned off their plants and not nuclear and coal as well, but they blew a lot of them up. You see these pictures of the plants being blown up by dynamite just to make sure that nobody restarts them. So, they’re fanatics. The real fanatics.
JOE ROGAN: That’s so crazy.
WILLIAM HAPPER: And at some point, some country like Germany, they’ll lose all their jobs, all the industry will move. There’ll be no jobs. People will all be on welfare. There’s no money to pay them. And at that point, someone will realize, “We’ve taken a wrong turn here.”
JOE ROGAN: I can’t believe they blew their plants up. That is nuts. And what are they replacing it with? Right now, you have Russian gas windmills.
WILLIAM HAPPER: Windmills, imported.
RICHARD LINDZEN: But you’re right, they’re importing fossil fuels.
WILLIAM HAPPER: And importing electricity from France, which still has a large nuclear power base.
JOE ROGAN: But how is Germany so smart and so dumb at the same time? Because they have tremendous engineers. They make some of the best automobiles ever.
RICHARD LINDZEN: They’re making them in Hungary.
The Problem of Collective Stupidity
WILLIAM HAPPER: But that’s a profound question, is how is it this country of poets and philosophers had the Nazis? Dietrich Bonhoeffer was one of the few German theologians who had the courage to remain in Nazi Germany. He was invited to come to the US, but he said, “I’m going to stay with my people.” And he was eventually hung by the Nazis. He didn’t survive. But he had this theory that it was stupidity. And it’s a very interesting theory. If you look on the Internet, you can read about Bonhoeffer’s theory of stupidity, but his view was that all of these Nazi supporters, they didn’t really believe in it all. They were just dumb. It’s hard for me, when I first read about this, I couldn’t believe it. But the more I look at it, I think that every nation has the problem that most of us are pretty stupid.
JOE ROGAN: There’s a large percentage of us that will believe almost anything. And we could point to a lot of things that are subjects in the zeitgeist right now that people wholeheartedly believe. That makes zero sense. They could go with that. And you would go, “Okay, some part of this has to be attributed to low intelligence.” So, what percentage of people in this country are incapable of thinking for themselves? It’s not a small number. Maybe it’s 10, maybe it’s 20. Whatever percentage, it’s enough where it’s a giant problem, that’s one thing.
RICHARD LINDZEN: But also, intelligence itself is a complex issue. There are people who, like us, may be idiot savants. There are things that we can do very well and other things we don’t.
JOE ROGAN: Absolutely.
RICHARD LINDZEN: Math departments are famous, though.
JOE ROGAN: Well, I think it’s a sign of almost any great person at anything. There are usually areas in their life where they’re just completely lacking, whether it’s hygiene or relationships or whatever, they’re obsessed by what they do, and that’s why they’re great at what they do.
RICHARD LINDZEN: Look, there are great writers who can’t do arithmetic. I don’t know where you put them in that category.
END QUOTE
The interview discusses topics such as Intelligence of Different Pursuits, Al Gore flunking out of Harvard and his father got him back in, Social Media, and Climate Activism. Then the transcript states:
BEGIN QUOTE
The Shift to Extreme Weather Narratives
RICHARD LINDZEN: Well, that was the reason for extreme weather being chosen. It’s interesting for quite a few years the climate issue was temperature. And you’ll have noticed the last 15, 20 years it’s been extreme weather.
JOE ROGAN: Right.
RICHARD LINDZEN: That shows that it was fake because it’s trivial. We looked it up. The average month, there are four or five extreme events someplace in that month that are once in a hundred-year events. So, each of them makes a good video. And you have four or five a month and each is once-in-a-hundred year [event]. And people aren’t putting it together that once-in-a-hundred-year events occurring four or five times a month. But you know, you always have a picture of a flood someplace or a fire or this or that. And those are used to scare people. It’s gotten harder and harder to scare people with numbers.
JOE ROGAN: Right? It’s extreme weather events. That’s what I keep hearing the hurricanes are getting stronger, they’re getting more frequent and they repeat that. And I don’t think that’s necessarily true.
RICHARD LINDZEN: No. For years the IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the UN was honestly saying they could find no evidence that these were related. The last one they had to say something because the politicians control what is in the IPCC [reports]. But even with that they were saying no. And that had nothing to do with the public relations, said to hell with it. Even if there’s no relation, we’ll say there is because that gives us visuals.
END QUOTE
See link under Challenging the Orthodox.
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Rare Extreme Weather: The shift in the narrative of the Orthodoxy to emphasize Extreme Weather Events is highlighted by “The 2025 Global Report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change.” Once a premier medical journal, The Lancet is chasing the money being given to organizations that promote the green new deal or similar programs. The abstract states:
“Driven by human-caused greenhouse gas emissions, climate change is increasingly claiming lives and harming people’s health worldwide. Mean annual temperatures exceeded 1·5°C above those of pre-industrial times for the first time in 2024. Despite ever more urgent calls to tackle climate change, greenhouse gas emissions rose to record levels that same year. Climate change is increasingly destabilizing the planetary systems and environmental conditions on which human life depends.”
The Key takeaways are:
“The health impacts of climate change are fast outpacing our ability to respond.
- Data from the 2025 Lancet Countdown report authored by 128 multidisciplinary experts shows that the delays in delivering climate action to date have resulted in millions of avoidable deaths each year, harmed health, and undermined economies and livelihoods worldwide.
- Record heat, extreme weather, and other climate impacts are compounded with fossil fuel-derived air pollution, health harms from high-carbon diets, and the economic strains of a fossil fuel-reliant economy – increasingly threatening lives and livelihoods.
The recent backsliding of climate commitments by governments and corporations is compounding the health risks.
- Despite scientific warnings and urgent calls for action, global greenhouse gas emissions reached record levels in 2024. The recent backsliding of climate commitments by governments and corporations is compounding the risks, further threatens people’s health and survival, and harms the economic conditions on which wellbeing depends.
Climate change action offers a lifeline.
- A just and health-centered energy transition, a health-based agricultural transformation, and rapid progress on adaptation, are essential to avert a rapid increase in health impacts and avoidable deaths. Climate action delivered to date, while insufficient, has already yielded major economic and health gains, demonstrating the life-saving power of a just transition. Countries leading the way in this transition are already reaping the health and economic benefits.
- Amidst global turmoil, local governments, health systems, and grassroots organizations are stepping up to deliver progress. Averting the worst health impacts of climate change now requires all hands-on deck.”
Note the phrase under recent backsliding of climate commitments that states that backsliding “threatens people’s health and survival.” A warmer Earth with plants flourishing threatens human survival?
The “128 multidisciplinary experts” did not include even one who has expertise in the field of molecular spectroscopy or similar fields needed to understand and describe the greenhouse effect. As described below, generally available data show that fewer people are dying from weather events, starvation, floods, etc. Yet, The Lancet insists that more people are dying from climate events (usually defined as 30 years of weather). Extreme weather events are not climate events unless repeated frequently over 30 years.
There is no question that past coal-burning plants caused unhealthy conditions. Modern plants do not. Further, calculations of massive deaths from tiny particulate matter (PM 2.5) are not validated by physical evidence and are wild speculation. The over 350 references cited in The Lancet are largely political, none of them address the Greenhouse Effect or how carbon dioxide increases temperatures.
The report is a political report, not one based on science or public health. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy. For an example of contradicting evidence see link to “Deaths from Extreme Weather are Rapidly Declining” under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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Snowballing Studies: When the snow is right, children can build large snowballs by starting with smaller ones, then rolling them down a hill. A similar concept is used to frighten the public by exaggerating a contemporary event. For example, consider “The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink” by Wiliam Ripple, et al. published in BioScience. The opening paragraph states:
We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet’s vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer future threats but are here now. This unfolding emergency stems from failed foresight, political inaction, unsustainable economic systems, and misinformation. Almost every corner of the biosphere is reeling from intensifying heat, storms, floods, droughts, or fires. The window to prevent the worst outcomes is rapidly closing. In early 2025, the World Meteorological Organization reported that 2024 was the hottest year on record (WMO 2025a). This was likely hotter than the peak of the last interglacial, roughly 125,000 years ago (Gulev et al. 2021, Kaufman and McKay 2022). Rising levels of greenhouse gases remain the driving force behind this escalation. These recent developments emphasize the extreme insufficiency of global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mark the beginning of a grim new chapter for life on Earth. [Boldface added]
The issue is where is the physical evidence supporting the claim that 2024 was likely hotter than the peak of the last interglacial, the Eemian, about 129,000 to 116,000 years ago? It is generally agreed that based on boreholes and other physical evidence, the Eemian was about 2°C (4°F) warmer than today. Additional physical evidence from numerous locations indicate the Eemian was warmer. This evidence includes marine sediments, remains of hardwood trees in northern Finland, southern Baffin Island, and Alaska.
Further, the International Commission on Stratigraphy (ICS), the largest and oldest constituent scientific body in the International Union of Geological Sciences (IUGS), has the primary objective to develop the International Chronostratigraphic Chart showing the different periods, epochs, and ages of Earth on an International Geological Time Scale. ICS has clearly shown that the warmest period was the Holocene Climate Optimum, which ended about 8200 years ago. Since then, Earth has cooled, then warmed, but it is generally cooling.
The two studies cited by Ripple, et al. were Gulev et al. 2021, Kaufman and McKay 2022. Gulev et al. cites a section in IPCC-AR6 “Climate change 2021: the physical science basis,” which presents assertions such as by the UN Secretary-General but gives no physical evidence.
From the abstract in Kaufman and McKay published by Climate of the Past:
“In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that Northern Hemisphere temperatures had reached levels unprecedented in at least 1400 years. The 2021 report now sees global mean temperatures rising to levels unprecedented in over 100 000 years.”
From conclusions in Kaufman and McKay:
“Without rapid and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, the average temperature of coming centuries will exceed 1.5 °C above preindustrial temperature and will therefore be warmer than the peak of the last interglacial around 125 000 years ago.”
What we have are assertions and forecasts from models that have produced no valid forecasts of climate change, particularly of the speculated influence of CO2 on temperatures. There are no examples of extensive physical evidence supporting these claims. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.
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Surprise: Former CEO of Microsoft Bill Gates is very wealthy and has committed significant funds to “fight climate change.” Such programs included changing the atmosphere to reflect sunlight. A long essay by Gates “Three tough truths about climate” came as a shock to many climate change activists. Tilak Doshi presents his view of why Gates issued the essay, and links to the essay. Under “what to know” the essay by Gates states:
- “Climate change is serious, but we’ve made great progress. We need to keep backing the breakthroughs that will help the world reach zero emissions.
- But we can’t cut funding for health and development—programs that help people stay resilient in the face of climate change—to do it.
- It’s time to put human welfare at the center of our climate strategies, which includes reducing the Green Premium to zero and improving agriculture and health in poor countries.”
See links under Problems in the Orthodoxy.
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Number of the Week: $1.3 Trillion a year. Climate Home News and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) may have revealed the real reason what the annual Conference of Parties (COP) to the UNFCCC continues after many failures. The opening paragraph of a report by the UNFCCC signed by Mukhtar Babayev CMA 6 [Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement] President (Nov 2024) and André Aranha Corrêa do Lago CMA 7 President stated:
“At COP29, Parties finalized a multi-year process and reached a milestone agreement on the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG). Under the Baku Finance Goal, the NCQG decision called on all actors to work together to enable the scaling up of financing to developing country Parties for climate action from all public and private sources to at least USD 1.3 trillion per year by 2035.”
So, not only has the Paris Agreement created its own massive bureaucracy, but its goal is also to collect $1.3 Trillion per year under the fanciful notion that human emissions of carbon dioxide are the principal cause of climate change.
Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013
Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf
Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014
Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
Challenging the Orthodoxy – Radiation Transfer
The Role of Greenhouse Gases in Energy Transfer in the Earth’s Atmosphere
By W.A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, Mar 3, 2023
Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on Five Most Abundant Greenhouse Gases
By W.A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, December 22, 2020
https://wvanwijngaarden.info.yorku.ca/files/2020/12/WThermal-Radiationf.pdf?x45936
Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase
By Richard Lindzen, William Happer, and William A. van Wijngaarden, CO2 Coalition, June 2024
Radiation Transport in Clouds
By W.A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Klimarealistene, Science of Climate Change, January 2025
Challenging the Orthodoxy
Transcript: Richard Lindzen & William Happer on Joe Rogan Podcast #2397
By S. Pangambam, Climate Depot, Oct 23, 2025 [H/t David Wojick]
The False Temperature Claims That Underpin the COP30 Alarmist Agenda
By Chris Morrison, The Daily Sceptic, Nov 7, 2025
Link to paper: A Jurassic record encodes an analogous Dansgaard–Oeschger climate periodicity
By Slah Boulila, Nature, Scientific Reports, Feb 4, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-05716-8
[SEPP Comment: Dansgaard–Oeschger (D-O) Events are in the Greenland Ice Core records. They are similar to Bond events in North Atlantic sea-floor sediment cores. The exact periodicity is questioned. However, if verified, the finding can be significant.]
Deaths from Extreme Weather are Rapidly Declining
By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, Nov 7, 2025
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2025/11/deaths-from-extreme-weather-are-rapidly.html
I could discuss other forms of extreme weather, but the conclusions are the same:
Your personal risk from virtually any type of extreme weather is now much, much smaller than it has been historically.
Plastic-eating bacteria have already evolved to eat our PET bottles and spread through global oceans
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Nov 7, 2025
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/11/plastic-eating-bacteria-have-already-evolved-to-eat-our-pet-bottles-and-spread-through-global-oceans
Link to paper: Widespread distribution of bacteria containing PETases with a functional motif across global oceans
By Intikhab Alam, et al, The ISME Journal: Multidisciplinary Journal of Microbial Ecology, January 2025
https://academic.oup.com/ismej/article/19/1/wraf121/8159680?login=false
From Nova: Life on Earth was never going to leave a free meal sitting around.
Hermann J. Muller: Another ethical improbity: Deceiving the journal Science
By Edward J. Calabrese, Journal of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene, Oct 31, 2025
Hermann J. Muller: Another ethical improbity: Deceiving the journal Science: Journal of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene: Vol 0, No 0 – Get Access
[SEPP Comment: A) Muller deceived others by deliberately omitted contradicting results.
B) Muller’s deceit led to the Linear No Threshold (LNT) hypothesis which has been falsified many times.
C) The EPA uses the LNT about climate and tiny particulate matter (PM 2.5.)]
Defending the Orthodoxy
Climate change is causing millions of avoidable deaths, says new report
A new study warns that climate change is taking a devastating toll on human health, causing hundreds of thousands of deaths each year from heat, pollution and wildfires.
Le Monde with AFP, Oct 29, 2025
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2025/10/29/climate-change-causing-millions-of-avoidable-deaths-lancet-study_6746874_114.html?utm_source=cbnewsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=2025-11-04&utm_campaign=DeBriefed+Hurricane+Melissa+strikes+Jamaica+Climate+plans+overshoot+1+5C+Protest+crackdowns
Link to report: The 2025 Global Report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
By Marina Romanello, The Lancet, Oct 28, 2025
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(25)01919-1/abstract
Climate-fighting efforts show slight gain but still fall far short, UN says
By Seth Borenstein and Melina Walling, AP, Nov 4, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/ap-un-report-climate-fighting-efforts-show-slight-gain-but-still-fall-far-short
Climate Analytics CEO Bill Hare, who helps run a separate emissions and temperature projecting report called Climate Action Tracker, said that his calculations show the same as the report.
The numbers indicate “a lack of political will,” he said.
[SEPP Comment: Lack of political will or presence of political stupidity?]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
By William J Ripple, et al., BioScience, Oct 29, 2025 [H/t Bob Zybach]
https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biaf149/8303627?login=false
Link to: Technical Note: Past and future warming – direct comparison on multi-century timescales
By Darrell S. Kaufman and Nicholas P. McKay, Climate of the Past, Apr 26, 2022
https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/911/2022/cp-18-911-2022.html
Chance of climate passing 2 degree threshold more than 95 percent: Analysis
By Max Rego, The Hill, Nov 4, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5588075-global-temperature-rise-rhodium-group
Link to report: Rhodium Climate Outlook 2025: Probabilistic Global Emissions and Energy Baseline Projections
By Mahmoud Mobir, et al., Rhodium Group, Nov 3, 2025
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Tidbits
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
But since the Times reports “Dry summer produces ‘unicorn vintage’ for English winemakers” and “The driest spring in more than 100 years and the warmest summer on record in the UK have provided ideal growing conditions for grapes” it might be worth considering that back when England had one glorious summer and splendid wine after another it might have been… warmer than today? Drat that historical evidence. Positively spoils the misery.
After Paris!
Roadmap to $1.3 trillion seeks to tip climate finance scales but way forward unclear
A new report shows how the world could deliver a big funding boost for developing nations by 2035, yet lacks a firm plan to implement its ideas
By Matteo Civillini, Climate Home News, Nov 5, 2025
Link to: Report On the Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T
Signed By Mukhtar Babayev CMA 6 President (Nov 2024) and André Aranha Corrêa do Lago CMA 7 President (Nov 2025), UNFCCC, November 2025
COP30 set to begin in Brazil: What to know
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Nov 7, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5592186-cop30-brazil-what-to-know
[SEPP Comment: The article does not mention the $1.3 Trillion per year.]
COP 30: Get U.S. out of this air travel UN offset scheme!
By Craig Rucker, CFACT, Nov 4, 2025
https://www.cfact.org/2025/11/04/cop-30-get-u-s-out-of-this-air-travel-un-offset-scheme
Link to: Resolution A39-3: Consolidated statement of continuing ICAO policies and practices related to environmental protection – Global Market-based Measure (MBM) scheme
By Staff, International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), No Date
Link to: ICAO, Strategic Goals: Aviation is Environmentally Sustainable
By Staff, ICAO, Accessed Nov 7, 2025
https://www.icao.int/strategic-goals/aviation-environmentally-sustainable
Paris crumbles: Only a third of countries even bothered to update their 5-year plan
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Nov 1, 2025
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/11/paris-crumbles-only-a-third-of-countries-even-bothered-to-update-their-5-year-plan
Global emissions on pace to exceed Paris goals despite progress: UN report
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Nov 4, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5588272-global-emissions-un-climate-report-paris-agreement
No link, probable report: Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off Target
By Staff, UNEP, Nov 4, 2025
https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2025
UNEP’s Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off Target finds that available new climate pledges under the Paris Agreement have only slightly lowered global temperature rise over the course of this century, leaving the world heading for a serious escalation of climate risks and damages.
100,000 Rainforest Trees Likely to Have Died In Vain as COP30 Faces Brutal Net Zero Reality
By Chris Morrison, The Daily Sceptic, Nov 3, 2025 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Who will Pay for President Lula da Silva’s COP30 Rainforest Fund?
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 7, 2025
Climate Activists Flying to Belém, Paying $1000+ / Night, to Demand More Money
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 6, 2025
Labour Mayor Flies To COP30
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 6, 2025
Social Benefits of Carbon Dioxide
Elevated CO2 and fenugreek
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
From the CO2Science.org archive:
Problems in the Orthodoxy
The Gates of Perception
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
Now to be clear, Gates has not actually said climate change isn’t real, man-made or a problem. All he’s doing is calling for a sense of proportion.
Bill Gates’s Climate U-Turn: Real Epiphany or Expedient Pivot?
By Tilak Doshi, His Substack, Nov 7, 2025
https://tilakdoshi.substack.com/p/bill-gatess-climate-u-turn-real-epiphany
Link to: Three tough truths about climate
What I want everyone at COP30 to know.
By Bill Gates, Gates Notes.com, Oct 28, 2025
https://www.gatesnotes.com/home/home-page-topic/reader/three-tough-truths-about-climate
Joe Romm: “Even Gates was fooled” (Doomism at Penn)
By Robert Bradley Jr. Master Resource, Nov 6, 2025
“Bill Gates has been rightly slammed for his anti-scientific memo calling for shifting our focus away from ‘near-term’ emissions cuts. Tragically, that shift could cause the very doomsday scenario he dismisses.” (Joe Romm) [Boldface added]
Europe’s Last-Minute Climate Scramble: Brussels Waters Down Its 2040 Target Just in Time for COP30
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Nov 5, 2025
Ugandan Villages Destroyed To Fight Climate Change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 2, 2025
From the Telegraph:
“Local government officials, who were guarded by armed security forces, razed crops, trees and homes as they claimed to be re-wilding wetland in a project run by the Green Climate Fund (GCF), which has received £2.6bn in UK taxpayers’ money.
It is one of a number of controversial projects uncovered in a seven-month investigation by The Telegraph into how the Government is spending £11.6bn in International Climate Finance (ICF).” [Boldface added]
Model Issues
Increasing extreme winds challenge offshore wind energy resilience
By Yanan Zhao, et al., Nature Communications, Nov 4, 2025 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-65105-3
Link to: ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5)
By Staff, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Accessed Nov 5, 2025
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/dataset/ecmwf-reanalysis-v5
From abstract: Here, we utilize hourly ERA5 wind speed data at 100 meters above sea level from 1940 to 2023 to reveals a significant global increase in oceanic U50 of 0.016 m s⁻¹ yr-1 (p < 0.01), with upward trends evident in 62.85% of coastal regions. [Boldface added]
From: ECMWF 50: ERA5 is the fifth generation ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis of the global climate covering the period from January 1940 to present. ERA5 is produced by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) at ECMWF.
[SEPP Comment: These are not data reflecting physical conditions. They are hindcasts of what may have been. The models used cannot reliably forecast a month into the future, yet the authors of the paper assume the models can reliably hindcast 85 years into the past?]
Measurement Issues — Surface
ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions
By Staff, Climate Prediction Center / NCEP, NOAA, Nov 3, 2025
ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory
- La Niña conditions are present.
- Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are mostly below average across most of the Pacific Ocean.
- Atmospheric anomalies over the tropical Pacific Ocean are consistent with La Niña.
- La Niña conditions are present and favored to persist through December 2025 – February 2026, with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely in January-March 2026 (55% chance)
[SEPP Comment: The predictions include US Seasonal Outlooks, Nov 2025 to Jan 2026, for Precipitation and Temperature. These are outlooks; they are not forecasts. La Niña conditions present do not mean a full-fledged La Niña episode which requires at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month sessions. CPC considers El Niño or La Niña conditions to occur when the monthly Niño3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +/- 0.5ºC along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecasted to persist for 3 consecutive months.]
Measurement Issues — Atmosphere
Latest v6.1 Global Temp. Anomaly (October ’25: +0.53°C)
UAH v6.1 Global Temperature Update for October 2025: +0.53 deg. C
By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Nov 3, 2025
The Version 6.1 global area-averaged linear temperature trend (January 1979 through October 2025) remains at +0.16 deg/ C/decade (+0.22 C/decade over land, +0.13 C/decade over oceans).
Global Temperature Report, October 2025
By Staff, Earth System Science Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Nov 4, 2025
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2025/October2025/202510_Map.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2025/October2025/202510_Bar.png
Text: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2025/October2025/GTR_202510_v2.pdf
UAH Ocean Stays Cool, SH Land Warms, October 2025
By Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 5, 2025
Changing Weather
Wilma, The Most Intense Hurricane In History?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 7, 2025
I have highlighted the key comment – Aircraft in the late 1940s and early 1950s would not have been able to penetrate the center since the central pressure was below 940 mb.
The reality is that hurricanes as strong as Melissa have almost certainly hit Jamaica in recorded history there. But we simply did not have the technology at the time to measure them.
Disappointing Melissa
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
But the Jamaica Gleaner may have disappointed alarmists even more by cataloging major hurricanes that hit the island from 1800 on, some of them, including ones in 1903 and 1951, more deadly than Melissa. The parent Reuters went even further with “the strongest-ever hurricane to directly hit [Jamaica’s] shores”. But just because nobody measured the wind speed of the 1722 monster that killed hundreds doesn’t mean it wasn’t fast. And it’s hard to defend the notion of climate change making hurricanes more common as well as more deadly if you look at the record not the hype.
[SEPP Comment: The National Hurricane Center has not posted the wind speed of Melissa at landfall for Jamaica.]
Most Intense Hurricanes
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 2, 2025
[SEPP Comment: New Wikipedia table.]
Placing Melissa in History
By Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 2, 2025
Washington [State] is the UFO Capital of the U.S. Is it Our Weather?
By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, Nove 2, 2025
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2025/11/washington-is-ufo-capital-of-us-is-it.html
There are three reasons why Washington State could have more UFO sighting reports:
(1) UFOs really are more frequent here.
(2) Washington State has a mental health issue.
(3) Our meteorology often produces features in the sky that look like UFOs.
Changing Skies
Reduced aerosol pollution diminished cloud reflectivity over the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific
By Knut von Salzen, et al., Nature Communications, Nov 5, 2025 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-65127-x
Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctic Peninsula: Still cold
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
Link to paper: Air Temperature Trends and Extreme Warming Events Across Regions of Antarctica for the Period 2003–2021
By Eva Bendix Nielsen, et al., JGR Atmospheres, 2025
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1029/2024JD043042
From summary: Our analysis confirms the recent, significant cooling over the Antarctic Peninsula that has been reported in other studies. Of interest, we identified significant warming in the Ross Sea Region, especially near coastal Victoria Land and the Transantarctic Mountains. Robson: Yup, climate is complicated, even on an empty, frozen land.
Greenland Continues To Defy Alarmist Warming And Ice Melt Narratives
By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Nov 6, 2025
Link to paper: The role of large-scale atmospheric patterns for recent warming periods in Greenland from 1900–2015
By Florina Roana Schalamon, et al., Weather Climate Dynamics, 2025
From Richard: Interestingly, the authors estimate Greenland ice sheet (GIS) melt has added just 1.08 cm to global sea levels since 1900. This is too small to justify alarmist narratives about dramatic warming and ice melt contributions to sea level rise.
Solid Arctic Ice Recovery October 2025
By Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 1, 2025
#HaveItBothWays: Debris flow in the Swiss Alps
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
Link to one paper: Climatic Change and Debris Flows in High Mountain Regions: The Case Study of the Ritigraben Torrent (Swiss Apls)
By M. Rebetez, R. Lugon & P-A Baeriswyl, Climatic Change July 1997
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A:1005356130392
Link to second paper: On the incidence of debris flows from the early Little Ice Age to a future greenhouse climate: A case study from the Swiss Alps
By Markus Stoffel, Martin Beniston, Geophysical Research Letters, Aug 24, 2026
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2006GL026805
Acidic Waters
Scientists “surprised” that 200-year-old corals are adapting to climate change just fine
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Nov 5, 2025
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/11/scientists-surprised-that-200-year-old-corals-are-adapting-to-climate-change-just-fine
Link to one paper: Multidecadal decoupling between coral calcifying fluid and seawater saturation states
By Jessica C. Hankins and Thomas M. DeCarlo, AAAS Science Advances, Aug 27, 2025
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adr0264
Link to second paper: A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O records
By Lorraine E. Lisiecki, Maureen E. Raymo, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, Jan 18, 2005
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2004pa001071
From Nova: Everyone was sure that corals would be degraded by our “increasingly acidic oceans” (a political-activist-term for “slightly less alkaline”). But when a team took cores from 200-year-old corals in the ocean — instead of studying them for a few months in a laboratory — they discovered some corals have adjusted to the pace of “acidification” much more effectively than anyone thought. The corals actively manage the chemistry of the thin layer of fluid next to the skeleton as the ocean chemistry shifts. [Boldface added]
Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine
Miliband’s net zero drive ‘risks food security crisis’
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 7, 2025
From newspaper article:
“In the past 25 years, the UK has lost over 1.8 million acres of farmland – a 4.4pc decline – contributing to a 12pc fall in food production.
Fears are now growing that the trend could accelerate as the Government ramps up its solar blitz.”
Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?
Trump administration moves to loosen restrictions it once supported on a harmful pollutant
By Matthew Daly, AP, Via The Hill, Nov 7, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/ap-trump-administration-moves-to-loosen-restrictions-it-once-supported-on-a-harmful-pollutant
Five years later, the second Trump administration is reversing course, as it moves to loosen a federal rule — based on the 2020 law — that requires grocery stores, air-conditioning companies and others to reduce powerful greenhouse gases used in cooling equipment.
[SEPP Comment: As Richard Lindzen has stated, the claims against hydrofluorocarbons, HFCs, are weak. The greenhouse effect of HFCs is puny compared with water vapor. The depletion of the Ozone Layer argument has apparently disappeared. Sunlight forms ozone, a greenhouse gas, in the upper atmosphere.]
The Guardian and Guterres Are Wrong: Science Shows No Climate ‘Tipping Points’
By Linnea Lueken, Climate Realism, Oct 31, 2025
Fake News BBC Push Reef Scare Again
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 7, 2025
Just in time for COP30 – what a coincidence!
The Independent is Laughably Wrong – There’s NO Climate Threat to Coffee, Chocolate, or Wine
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Nov 7, 2025
The Church of Climate Loses Its Pulpit at CBS
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Nov 7, 2025
Cutting the “climate desk” wasn’t censorship — it was a long-overdue correction to years of sanctimony.
Pakistan’s Deadly Floods Are Not Worsened by Climate Change, BBC
By Linnea Lueken, Climate Realism, Nov 5, 2025
Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.
Climate change boosted Hurricane Melissa’s destructive winds and rain, analysis finds
By Isabella O’Mally, AP, Via The Hill, Nov 6, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/climate-change-hurricane-melissa
The rapid analysis by World Weather Attribution found that climate change increased Melissa’s maximum wind speeds by 7% and made the rainfall near the center of the storm 16% more intense. The scientists also wrote that the temperature and humidity in which the storm intensified were made six times more likely due to climate change compared to a pre-industrial world.
Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda
The Church of Climate Semiotics: When Graphs Become Heresy
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Nov 6, 2025
[SEPP Comment: TWTW was able to link to the paper but not copy it.]
Questioning European Green
A rising tide of climate sanity?
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
Wait, more wind and solar cause stress? It used to be that building a fleet of new generators relieved grid stress. Could it be that these renewables are the problem not the solution? Let’s see if we can make the problem better by giving it a long name:
Climate Alarmists Question Climate Exaggeration
By Robert Bradley Jr., Master Resource, Nov 4, 2025
‘Green’ Obsession Feeds Orthodoxy and Starves Growth
By Vijay Jayaraj, CO2 Coalition, Nov 4, 2025
Questioning Green Elsewhere
Value of Decarbonizing Pledges? Net Zero.
By Gary Abernathy, Via Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 3, 2025
Link to paper: Halfway Between Kyoto and 2050
By Vaclav Smil, Fraser Institute, 2024
From Clutz: “The first lesson of economics is scarcity. There is never enough of anything to fully satisfy all those who want it. The first lesson of politics is to disregard the first lesson of economics.” – Thomas Sowell
Trump Administration Restoring Timber Industry In Oregon
By Diane Gruber, American Free News Network, Nov 4, 2025
The number of timber harvested on federal lands were reduced by 90% from 1989 to 2011, NINETY PERCENT, while the harvest-levels remained constant in private land.
[SEPP Comment: The Northwest timber industry was destroyed by the false claims that a nesting pair of Northern Spotted Owls needs 2,000 acres of old growth forest. The real problem was that the smaller Northern Spotted Owl habitat was being invaded by larger, aggressive Barred Owls.]
The Road To Nowhere–Paid For By UK Climate Aid!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Oct 31, 2025
From the Telegraph:
A £52m road through the Amazon jungle is being built using British aid that is intended to help the climate, The Telegraph can reveal.
The road in Guyana goes nowhere other than a tiny village and has long been criticized by environmentalists, though it is celebrated by the oil industry. It is just one among hundreds of schemes funded by taxpayers through the International Climate Finance initiative (ICF). [Boldface added]
Funding Issues
New Report Exposes Foreign Charities Funneled $2 Billion to Left-Wing Groups Behind Protests & Extreme Climate Agenda
By Staff, Americans for Public Trust, Oct 31, 2025 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Link to full report: Foreign Charities Fueling Extreme Policies in the U.S.
By Staff, Americans for Public Trust, October 2025
Today, Americans for Public Trust released a new report exposing how a group of foreign “charities” has spent almost $2 billion bankrolling U.S. policy fights and advancing an extreme climate agenda.
Litigation Issues
Cal Laws Compel PC Climate Speech, Exxon Sues for Free Speech
By Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 5, 2025
Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes
World Dodged UN Climate Bullet, thanks to US
By Ron Clutz, His Blog, Nov 4, 2025
Matthew Boyle breaks the news at Breitbart Mike Waltz Reveals How Trump Killed ‘Global Green Tax’ That Would Have Created ‘U.N. Climate Slush Fund’ at 11th Hour. Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.
Eco-Activists’ Courtroom Carbon Tax Must Be Stopped
By Larry Behrens, Real Clear Energy, Nov 3, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/03/eco-activists_courtroom_carbon_tax_must_be_stopped_1145049.html
Boiler Tax to Rise to £100 as Miliband Refuses to Back Down on Heat Pump Push
By Will Jones, The Daily Sceptic, Nov 1, 2025
Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Saved by the bean
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
The same strange issue we encountered in the coffee factory with respect to which machinery was the problem. You see:
“Widespread adoption of hybrid heating could reduce Ontario electricity system costs by 20%, compared to a fully electric approach, while still keeping Canada on track to meeting its long-term emissions reductions targets, the report finds.”
And again one is tempted to object that Canada isn’t on track to meeting its long-term targets, or its short-term ones. Oh, and that they are talking about cutting costs for the electricity system by forcing homeowners to install two heating systems rather than one, in the hopes that on a long enough timeline they might recover the up-front costs: [Boldface added]
Energy Issues – Non-US
Products, fuel, and electricity are the real climate challenges for the future
By Ronald Stein, America Out Loud News, Nov 3, 2025
https://www.americaoutloud.news/products-fuel-and-electricity-are-the-real-climate-challenges-for-the-future
A global challenge today is reconciling the conflict between policies that aim to ensure everyone has access to affordable, reliable electricity with those that protect the environment everywhere.
Energy Issues – Australia
[Energy Minister] Chris Bowen: running the electricity grid with schoolyard jeers and petty derision
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Nov 4, 2025
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/11/chris-bowen-running-the-electricity-grid-with-schoolyard-jeers-and-petty-derision
Energy Issues — US
Rare Earth Minerals, etc. from China … Or The USA?
By Paul Driessen, WUWT, Nov 3, 2025
Jane Menton Comments On Zohran Mamdani
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Nov 4, 2025
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2025-11-4-jane-menton-comments-on-zohran-mamdani
Among those policies is Local Law 97, which will require over 50,000 buildings to reduce emissions 40% by 2030 and 80% by 2050. For large buildings, full compliance requires full electrification and millions of dollars in renovations. The alternative is to pay hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars in annual penalties.
And here’s the kicker: even if buildings follow through with electrification, at tremendous expense, there is currently an inadequate electricity supply to support the electrification mandates, and the city has no credible plan to provide it.
Mamdani has pledged to enforce the law fully, with no adjustments. To him, Local Law 97 is about “taking on the real estate industry” and achieving “climate justice.”
New York’s climate law hits the wall
By David Wojick, CFACT, Nov 4, 2025
https://www.cfact.org/2025/11/04/new-yorks-climate-law-hits-the-wall
Hell done froze. New York Governor Kathy Hochul, a leading contender for Greenest Governor in America, wants to redo their infamous Climate Act because New Yorkers cannot afford it. This is a sure sign that the rapidly rising cost of energy has become a big election issue.
Hochul’s position kicks off what promises to be a grand show over the next three months. New York State is between a rock and a green hard place. Change the law or do the impossible — their choice.
NY Politicians Face Climate Act Consequences
By Roger Caiazza, WUWT, Nov 4, 2025
There has been a new development for New York’s Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act) net-zero plan. On Oct. 24, 2025, the New York Supreme Court issued a decision and order in a case pitting environmental organizations against the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC). The judge ordered DEC to issue final regulations establishing economy-wide greenhouse gas emission (GHG) limits on or before Feb. 6, 2026.
The Hidden Cost of the Cloud: Why Data Centers Are Showing Up on Your Utility Bill and What Homeowners Can Do
By Douglas Brady, Real Clear Energy, Nov 5, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/05/the_hidden_cost_of_the_cloud_why_data_centers_are_showing_up_on_your_utility_bill_and_what_homeowners_can_do_1145619.html
[SEPP Comment: Homeowner electricity costs are rising; the author promotes insulation.]
Alaska: America’s Untapped Energy Frontier
By Tom Pyle, Real Clear Energy, Nov 4, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/04/alaska_americas_untapped_energy_frontier_1145071.html
One of the biggest indications of a turning tide is that, after decades of being viewed only as a state initiative, the $44 billion Alaska LNG project is now being seen as the national asset that it can be. The pipeline would tap into approximately 35 trillion cubic feet of stranded gas reserves on Alaska’s North Slope, transporting up to 500 million cubic feet per day under a sales agreement with Great Bear Pantheon to a liquefaction facility in Nikiski, southwest of Anchorage, providing a shorter, more efficient shipping route to key markets like Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines.
Energy: The Most Critical 7% of America’s GDP
By Shaun Walsh, Power Mag, Oct 13, 2025
https://www.powermag.com/energy-the-most-critical-7-of-americas-gdp/?utm_source=omeda&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=pwrtddirect+eletter&oly_enc_id=7809H6412578J0B
[SEPP Comment: Ignores the greatest threat to US electricity: government mandating and subsidizing unreliable generation.]
Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?
Trump Admin Touts Record-Shattering Energy Report Despite Biden-Era Crackdown
By Audrey Streb, Daily Caller, Nov 5, 2025
https://dailycaller.com/2025/11/05/trump-admin-touts-record-shattering-energy-report-despite-biden-crackdown
The Department of Energy (DOE) touted a report on Wednesday which states that America broke records in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.
The U.S. became the first country to export over 10 million metric tonnes of LNG in one month in October, Reuters reported on Monday, citing preliminary data from the financial firm LSEG.
[SEPP Comment: Big change from the 1970s when Washington was sure the US was about to run out of natural gas. The problem was caused by Washington’s price controls on natural gas at a time of high inflation.]
Return of King Coal?
America’s Coal Industry: Still Powering the Nation and Worth Defending
By Chris Hamilton, Real Clear Energy, Nov 5, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/05/americas_coal_industry_still_powering_the_nation_and_worth_defending_1145314.html
Trump Admin Looking To Restore Coal Plants As America’s Grid Buckles
By Audrey Streb, Daily Caller, Oct 31, 2025
https://dailycaller.com/2025/10/31/trump-admin-looking-restore-coal-plants-americas-grid-buckles
Trump opens up $100M to help coal plants
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Nov 3, 2025
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5586586-trump-coal-plants-energy-department
Coal use in the U.S. has been declining in recent years since its peak in 2007. In 2023, it made up about 16 percent of U.S. electric power.
It’s not immediately clear where the $100 million in funding will come from.
Nuclear Energy and Fears
What the Nuke Bros Can Learn from the Navy — and What They Can’t
By Rabbi Yechezkel Moskowitz, Real Clear Energy, Nov 5, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/05/what_the_nuke_bros_can_learn_from_the_navy__and_what_they_cant_1145615.html
The Navy didn’t make nuclear work because it was simple. It made it work because it was sacred. Admiral Hyman Rickover built a system designed not to fail — standardized, centralized, and ruthlessly disciplined. It served its mission perfectly. But what works for warships doesn’t always work for markets. Rickover’s genius was that he eliminated uncertainty. Every submarine and carrier reactor shared the same DNA. Training, design, operations — all uniform, all accountable to one command. That’s why the Navy’s record is spotless. The Ford-class carrier’s twin A1B reactors can operate for fifty years with only one refueling — a feat of engineering discipline as much as physics. Rickover’s model worked because the Navy had one job: deterrence and defense. It didn’t need ten competing designs. It needed one that never failed. In other words, In that world, standardization isn’t bureaucracy — it’s survival.
Data Centers, Trump Spark U.S. Nuclear Revival
By Duggan Flanakin, Real Clear Energy, Nov 2, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/02/data_centers_trump_spark_us_nuclear_revival_1144805.html
Oklo’s Valuation: Nuclear on Welfare (joining wind, solar, batteries)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Master Resource, Nov 5, 2025
Commercial nuclear power has turned into the welfare energy de jure. It is politically correct despite many decades of failure to compete against other forms of thermal energy. …Regarding the present, consider this example from Jamie Smyth, editor of US Energy, who wrote:
“Nuclear technology company Oklo has no revenues, no licence to operate reactors and no binding contracts to supply power. But this has not stopped the Silicon Valley-based start-up from riding a wave of investor enthusiasm that has propelled its stock market valuation above $20bn, a rise of more than 500 per cent since the turn of the year.”
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind
Australia’s Solar Glut is so bad, the government gives electricity away for free to keep the grid afloat
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Nov 6, 2025
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/11/australias-solar-glut-is-so-bad-the-government-gives-electricity-away-for-free-to-keep-the-grid-afloat
There is no free lunch — the poor already paid for a share in these solar panels
For years the unwashed masses have been quietly forced to pay for wealthier people to install solar panels in Australia. It was all so well disguised. Solar installers would sell panels below their real cost and then collect the SRES carbon credits as a rebate to cover the difference. But on the other end of that deal, electricity consumers paid for those carbon credits as an unlisted extra on top of their rapidly rising bills. This charge hit the poor who didn’t have solar panels harder than those who could afford them.
Uncertainty Gives Way to Urgency: Latest Treasury Guidance Signals the Time is Now to Get Solar Projects Underway
By Jared Haines, Power Mag, Nov 3, 2025
https://www.powermag.com/uncertainty-gives-way-to-urgency-latest-treasury-guidance-signals-the-time-is-now-to-get-solar-projects-underway/?utm_source=omeda&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=pwrnews+eletter&oly_enc_id=7809H6412578J0B
An Unexpected Challenge That Will Accelerate Long-Term, Positive Change
While the OBBBA undeniably creates headwinds for the industry, it is far from insurmountable. The economics of solar haven’t changed. The transition to clean energy is still accelerating. Electricity demand is surging, driven by data centers, electrification, and industrial decarbonization. And solar remains one of the most cost-effective solutions to meet that demand. And none of that will change after 2027.
[SEPP Comment: The CEO of the solar energy services company fails to explain why solar is cost efficient at midnight. Data centers need power 24-7.]
Surge in rooftop blazes sparks concern over Miliband’s solar panel boom
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 2, 2025
Trump’s Past Top Energy Regulator: Mamdani Is Partially Right on Energy. That’s Disastrous for NYC.
By Neil Chatterjee, Real Clear Energy, Nov 3, 2025
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/11/03/trumps_past_top_energy_regulator_mamdani_is_partially_right_on_energy_thats_disastrous_for_nyc_1145047.html
He supports the rapid deployment of solar power generation and updating energy efficiency, both of which I have backed as necessary policies to respond to skyrocketing energy demands and curb energy price increases. Unfortunately, that’s where the good news ends. His rejection of fossil fuels and calls for a socialist takeover of energy production and distribution will yield disaster for New York City.
[SEPP Comment: Solar generation in Central Park?]
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles
Pay per Mile Tax For EVs On The Way
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 6, 2025
EV Driving Will Be Unaffordable For Those Without Off Street Parking
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 7, 2025
We have six new rapid EV chargers just installed at our local shopping centre, which have replaced 50kW chargers.
With news this week that EV’s will face pay-per-mile charges from 2028, these new chargers are a reminder that driving will become not only unpractical but unaffordable for anybody without off street parking. It is estimated that this is the case for at least 40% of car owners.
[SEPP Comment: Homewood does a simple analysis to show that public chargers will increase the cost of owning a car.]
Carbon Schemes
You’ll need a bigger axe
By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, Nov 5, 2025
Many people involved in the climate debate do not seem to understand how big the planet is, how slowly inexorable ocean currents and other geological phenomena are. For instance, Scientific Alarmism [American], asks “Can We Bury Enough Wood to Slow Climate Change?” And while the answer is obviously “no of course not, you fools” they say yes:
Health, Energy, and Climate
Associations of temperature and precipitation with malaria in children under 5: A multi-country study in Sub-Saharan Africa
By Suleiman Chombo, et al., PLOS One, Oct 27, 2025
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0335031&utm_source=cbnewsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=2025-11-04&utm_campaign=DeBriefed+Hurricane+Melissa+strikes+Jamaica+Climate+plans+overshoot+1+5C+Protest+crackdowns
From abstract: The results indicate that a one-degree Celsius rise in temperature increased malaria risk by 1.77-fold (95% CI: 1.297–2.414, p < 0.001), while a one-unit rise in squared temperature reduced risk by 1% (95% CI: 0.984–0.997, p = 0.002).
[SEPP Comment: When malaria occurred in Finland at the Arctic Circle in the 1800s what was the temperature increase? Or in Yakutsk Siberia in the 1930s and 40s?
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Number of the Week: $1.3 Trillion a year (above)
Solar radiation could cool Earth, not replace emissions
By Alex Morrison, University of Exeter, Nov 5, 2025 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/news/2025-11-solar-cool-earth-emissions.html
Link to policy briefing: Solar radiation modification
By Staff, The Royal Society, 2025
Techniques to reflect an additional small portion of sunlight back into space could help cool the planet if deployed globally, but they cannot address the full range of climate impacts or replace emission cuts, according to a Royal Society briefing.
Maldives: Paradise soon to be lost–BBC 2004
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 7, 2025
That was 21 years ago.
Since then, twelve new airports have been opened on the Maldives, plus a new passenger terminal at the Velana International Airport.
Tourists’ numbers have tripled to more than 2 million last year. Tourism now drives 28% of GDP, supported by more than 170 resorts. Last year alone, another seven new resorts were opened.
Far from disappearing beneath the waves, the Maldives are thriving!
Danish Farmers Blame Bovaer For Collapsing Cows
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Nov 3, 2025
[SEPP Comment: Bovaer is considered a safe feed additive for cattle that reduces methane emissions.]
ARTICLES
1. Alaska’s Liberation Day
Senate Republicans use the Congressional Review Act to overturn Biden’s giant anti-fossil-fuels land grab.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Nov. 4, 2025
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/alaska-national-petroleum-reserve-senate-resolution-cra-biden-administration-9e33f617
TWTW Summary: The editorial states, in part:
“Amid partisan bickering over the government shutdown, Senate Republicans are still doing some useful work that could help Americans and the U.S. economy. Last week the Senate approved a resolution, 52-45, to reverse the Biden Administration’s giant Alaska land grab.
No state suffered more from the Biden team’s lawless war on fossil fuels than Alaska. A case in point was the Interior Department’s move to restrict oil and gas leasing on 11 million acres in Alaska’s National Petroleum Reserve. Congress expressly set aside this region in 1923 for oil and gas development, but the Biden climateers didn’t care.
Mr. Biden claimed to be honoring the “culture, history, and enduring wisdom of Alaska Natives.” But Alaska’s indigenous leaders opposed his restrictions. The Biden “plan effectively locked up about half of the National Petroleum Reserve—an area Congress explicitly set aside for energy production—ignored Alaska Native voices, violated clear Congressional intent, and undermined our state’s ability to responsibly develop the resources that support our communities and strengthen our nation,” Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan explained last week.
The Congressional Review Act lets a simple majority of both chambers vote to reverse agency rules with the President’s signature. The law also prevents regulators from promulgating similar rules in the future, so the resolution could prevent another confiscation under the next Democratic Administration. Pennsylvania’s John Fetterman was the only Democrat to vote with Republicans.”
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