Skeptical Science New Research for Week #25 2025
Posted on 19 June 2025 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack
Open access notables
Human influence on climate detectable in the late 19th century, Santer et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
When could scientists have first known that fossil fuel burning was significantly altering global climate? We attempt to answer this question by performing a thought experiment with model simulations of historical climate change. We assume that the capability to monitor global-scale changes in atmospheric temperature existed as early as 1860 and that the instruments available in this hypothetical world had the same accuracy as today’s satellite-borne microwave radiometers. We then apply a pattern-based “fingerprint” method to disentangle human and natural effects on climate. A human-caused stratospheric cooling signal would have been identifiable by approximately 1885, before the advent of gas-powered cars. Our results suggest that a discernible human influence on atmospheric temperature has likely existed for over 130 y.
Facebook algorithm’s active role in climate advertisement delivery, Sankaranarayanan et al., Nature Climate Change
Climate advertising on social media can shape attitudes towards climate change. Delivery algorithms, as key actors in the climate communication ecosystem, determine ad audience selection and might introduce demographic bias. Here, we present a two-part study—an observational analysis (n = 253,125) and a field experiment (M = 650)—to investigate algorithmic bias in Facebook’s climate ad dissemination. Our findings provide preliminary evidence that the algorithm’s selection of ad audiences can be explained by factors such as ad content, audience location (US states), gender and age group. Moreover, the cost-effectiveness of contrarian ads is linked with the conservative political alignment of a state, while the cost-effectiveness of advocacy ads correlates with liberal political alignment, higher population and per-capita gross domestic product; ad targeting strategies further modulate these effects. The skew in the distribution of climate ads across US states, age groups and genders reinforces existing climate attitudes.
Political differences in climate change knowledge and their association with climate attitudes, behavior, and policy support, Stockus and Zell, Journal of Environmental Psychology
Liberals are more likely to believe that climate change is a serious matter that requires immediate action than conservatives. Nonetheless, little is known about why this political difference in attitudes occurs. We tested whether liberals have superior knowledge about climate change than conservatives and whether political differences in knowledge are associated with climate attitudes (total N = 649, Prolific). In a U.S. sample, Study 1 found that Democrats had better knowledge about climate change than Republicans. Additionally, there was an indirect association of political party with climate attitudes and support for climate policies through knowledge. Study 2 replicated these findings and found a similar indirect association with climate change mitigation behaviors. Study 3 partially replicated the above effects in the UK. Although limited by use of cross-sectional designs, these data suggest that knowledge about climate change is associated with political differences in climate attitudes, behavior, and policy support.
How media competition fuels the spread of misinformation, Amini et al., Science Advances
Competition among news sources over public opinion can incentivize them to resort to misinformation. Sharing misinformation may lead to a short-term gain in audience engagement but ultimately damages the credibility of the source, resulting in a loss of audience. To understand the rationale behind news sources sharing misinformation, we model the competition between sources as a zero-sum sequential game, where news sources decide whether to share factual information or misinformation. Each source influences individuals based on their credibility, the veracity of the article, and the individual’s characteristics. We analyze this game through the concept of quantal response equilibrium, which accounts for the bounded rationality of human decision-making. The analysis shows that the resulting equilibria reproduce the credibility-opinion distribution of real-world news sources, with hyperpartisan sources spreading the majority of misinformation. Our findings provide insights for policymakers to mitigate the spread of misinformation and promote a more factual information landscape.
From this week’s government/NGO section:
[By chance this edition’s collection includes a group of reports particularly indicative of general and significant misalignment between priorities of politicians versus the people they serve.]
Climate Change in the American Mind: Politics & Policy, Spring 2025, Leiserowitz et al., Yale University and George Mason University
This report is based on findings from a nationally representative survey. Interview dates: May 1 -12, 2025. Interviews: 1,040 adults (18+), 915 of whom are registered to vote. Average margin of error for registered voters: +/- 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. 52% of registered voters think global warming should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress. 64% of registered voters think developing sources of clean energy should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress. Majorities of registered voters support a range of policies to reduce carbon pollution and promote clean energy. These include, 88% support federal funding to help farmers improve practices to protect and restore the soil so it absorbs and stores more carbon; 80% support funding more research into renewable energy sources; 75% support regulating carbon dioxide as a pollutant; 71% support tax credits or rebates to encourage people to buy electric appliances, such as heat pumps and induction stoves; 67% support transitioning the U.S. economy from fossil fuels to 100% clean energy by 2050 ; and 63% support requiring fossil fuel companies to pay for the damages caused by global warming.
New Zealand at climate change crossroads, AMI, State and NZI, IAG New Zealand
New Zealanders are expecting more extreme weather events as a result of climate change. They want more to be done to reduce the risks and costs of these events to help keep insurance affordable and available. 90% of New Zealanders anticipate more extreme storms, 89% foresee more frequent and intense flooding, and 88% expect coastal flooding due to rising sea levels. As New Zealanders brace for a future shaped by more frequent and severe climate events, many expect the cost of these events to be reflected in insurance premiums.
Voters Are Concerned About Rising Costs and Think Climate Change Will Financially Affect Them, Brynne Robbins and Elias Kemp, Data for Progress
Voters nearly universally believe that energy and environmental issues are important to address. This holds across party lines: 95% of Democrats, 94% of Independents, and 88% of Republicans indicate that energy and environmental issues are either important or a top priority to them. However, the degree of importance varies significantly with party affiliation. Nearly half (49%) of Democrats say energy and environmental issues are a top priority, while only a third (33%) of Independents and just under a quarter (23%) of Republicans feel the same. When asked whether they believe climate change will have a direct financial impact on them and their family, a majority (58%) of likely voters say it will impact them either greatly or somewhat. Democrats most commonly believe this, with 73% saying that they will be either greatly or somewhat impacted, while only 41% of Republicans believe the same. Just 52% of white voters predict they’ll be impacted, compared with 64% of Black voters and 73% of Latino voters. Women (62%), voters under 45 (66%), and voters with a college degree (60%) also predict greater financial impact.
Two-thirds of Canadians favour developing clean energy over fossil fuels, while 85% wish to maintain or increase federal climate action, Abacus Data, Clean Energy Canada
Two-thirds of Canadians say they would prioritize clean over conventional energy. Specifically, 67% of respondents say that, assuming both were priorities, they would generally favor clean energy projects such as critical minerals, renewable power and transmission, and energy storage. The remaining 33% would prefer conventional fossil fuel projects like oil and gas, including LNG development. Asked how crucial the two energy sectors will be to the Canadian economy over the next decade, 87% say clean energy will be very (45%) or pretty (42%) important, while 83% say fossil fuels will be very (36%) or pretty (47%) important. In other words, the four-point advantage for clean energy increases to nine points among those who see at least one of these sectors as “very important.”
156 articles in 66 journals by 932 contributing authors
Physical science of climate change, effects
Observation-based estimate of Earth’s effective radiative forcing, Van Loon et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2425445122
Observations of climate change, effects
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the March 2024 Compound Floods and Saharan Dust Outbreak in Europe, Pons et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd042218
Detectable Anthropogenic Influence in Mean Precipitation of China, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl114870
Impact of Increasing Greenhouse Gases on the Ionosphere and Thermosphere Response to a May 2024-Like Geomagnetic Superstorm, Pedatella et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl116445
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
Arctic and Antarctic Surface Temperatures from AVHRR thermal Infrared satellite sensors 1982–2023, Kolbe et al., Remote Sensing of Environment Open Access 10.1016/j.rse.2025.114816
Construction of Temperature Climate Data Records in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Using Multiple RO Missions From September 2006 to July 2023 at NESDIS/STAR, Zhou et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd041295
Global Scenario Reference Datasets for Climate Change Integrated Assessment with Machine Learning, Wei et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2025-299
Rapid attribution prototype for extreme high temperature events in China, SUN et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2025.06.004
Temperature magnitude duration frequency curves to unravel temperature extremes incorporating climate change across India, Rahman & Pekkat, Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102494
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
A Decomposition of the Key Drivers of Current and Future Northern Hemisphere Cyclone-Associated Precipitation Trends, Crawford et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0453.1
A pseudo global warming based system to study how climate change affects high impact rainfall events, Lenderink et al., Weather and Climate Extremes 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100781
European Temperature Extremes Under Different AMOC Scenarios in the Community Earth System Model, van Westen & Baatsen, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl114611
Global Heatwaves Dynamics Under Climate Change Scenarios: Multidimensional Drivers and Cascading Impacts, Adeyeri et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2025ef006486
More extreme summertime North Atlantic Oscillation under climate change, Liu et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4711323/v1
Muted Radiative Feedback of Stratospheric Water Vapor Found in a Multimodel Assessment, He & Huang, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2025jd043676
Projection of Temperatures and Precipitation Using the LARS-WG Model in Eastern China Under the CMIP6 Scenarios, Disasa et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8929
Resolving electron partial waves in multiphoton ionization of molecules, Gong et al., Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adw5917
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
A hybrid statistical-dynamical method to translate past extreme temperature days into the future climate, Boé et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100785
AdriE: a high-resolution ocean model ensemble for the Adriatic Sea under severe climate change conditions, Bonaldo et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1468
An improved and extended parameterization of the CO2 15 µm cooling in the middle and upper atmosphere (CO2&cool&fort-1.0), López-Puertas et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4401-2024
Decomposing the Bias of Shortwave Cloud Radiative Effect in a Climate Model Using Machine Learning, Yang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl114203
Evaluating ERA5 Downscaled Simulations Using CCAM: Large-Scale Circulation Processes and Teleconnections, Ma et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2025jd043566
Exploring climate futures with deep learning, Al Khourdajie, Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-025-02350-w
Large biases in the frequency of water limitation across Earth system models, Giardina et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02426-7
Overestimation of Interannual Temperature Variability Over China by CMIP6 Simulations: The Role of Snow Cover and Cloud Representation, Wang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2025jd043551
Processes Underlying the Year-To-Year Fluctuations of the Global Mean Surface Temperature, Jiang et al., Atmospheric Science Letters Open Access 10.1002/asl.1307
Response of QBO Bias to Convection Scheme in an AGCM, Baba & Watanabe, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd042501
Understanding the Biases in Daily Extreme Precipitation Climatology in CMIP6 Models, Chen et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl114507
Understanding the Uncertainty in the West African Monsoon Precipitation Response to Increasing CO2, Mutton et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0506.1
Cryosphere & climate change
In a sea of crumbling icebergs, WOLF-GLADROW et al., Journal of Glaciology Open Access 10.1017/jog.2025.10060
Sustained decrease in inland East Antarctic surface mass balance between 2005 and 2020, Wang et al., Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-025-01699-z
Sea level & climate change
Diagnosing Regional Sea Level Change Over the Altimeter Era, Karnauskas et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 10.1029/2024jc022100
Forecasting sea level rise using enhanced deep learning models, Zitouni et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1552834
Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry
High Arctic Lake sediments show that Heinrich Event 2 was preceded by summer warming, van der Bilt et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02440-9
Human influence on climate detectable in the late 19th century, Santer et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2500829122
Mid-Pliocene Climate Forcing, Sea Surface Temperature Patterns, and Implications for Modern-Day Climate Sensitivity, Dvorak et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0410.1
Pacific Highs: A Treasure Trove of Past Warm Climate Archives, et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology Open Access 10.1029/2025pa005133
Tropical circulation shifts and regional climate impacts: Comparing mid-Piacenzian warmth and future warming (SSP2–4.5), Zhang et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104941
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
A single-tree approach to determine climate-growth patterns of European beech and their seasonality in the species southern distribution area, Serrano-Notivoli et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110644
Biogeographical Regions and Climate Change: Lanternfishes Shed Light on the Role of Climatic Barriers in the Southern Ocean, Rintz et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70256
Capacity of a forest to buffer temperature: Does canopy tree species matter?, Perot et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110646
Cell-Size-Dependent Responses of Bacterial Communities to Warming in the Alpine Grasslands of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, Liu et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.70285
Contrasting Species Distribution Model Predictability Under Novel Temperature Conditions, Allyn et al., Diversity and Distributions Open Access 10.1111/ddi.70036
Decoupling of plant nitrogen and phosphorus under global change over the last two decades, Hong et al., Journal of Ecology 10.1111/1365-2745.70081
Drastic peatland regime shift and landscape disturbances connected to warm and cold climate events over the past centuries in subarctic Finland, Piilo et al., Boreas Open Access 10.1111/bor.70017
Future climate-driven fires may boost ocean productivity in the iron-limited North Atlantic, Bergas-Masso et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-025-02356-4
Geographic variability of the climate response of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) radial growth in the Middle Urals, Devi et al., Dendrochronologia 10.1016/j.dendro.2025.126329
Heterogeneous trait responses of Páramo plant species and community to experimental warming, Tovar et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2025.0245
Long-term vegetation dynamics in Spain’s National Park Network: insights from remote sensing data, Franquesa et al., Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Open Access 10.1007/s10661-025-14233-w
Negative Impacts of Global Change Stressors Permeate Into Deep Soils, Wen et al., Ecology Letters 10.1111/ele.70143
Opposite effects of temperature and precipitation on vegetation growth onset in Africa, Shi et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110604
Predictions of southern migration timing in coastal sharks under future ocean warming, Manz et al., Conservation Biology Open Access 10.1111/cobi.70080
Rising Trends in Winter Phytoplankton Blooms in the Northern Arabian Sea Over the Last Two Decades: Drivers and Implications, Song et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl116509
Robust Conservation Planning for Biodiversity Under Climate Change Uncertainty, Rutschmann et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.70293
Shape-shifting in relative wing length of juvenile shorebirds: no evidence of developmental temperatures driving morphological changes, Ryding et al., Ecography Open Access 10.1002/ecog.07801
Stability and transferability of broadly trained phenology models in a changing climate, Spafford et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110685
The Greater the Tilt, the Taller the Nest? The Effect of Solar Array Type on Bird Nest Architecture and Nest Microclimate, Enochs et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.71539
Up High, Hot and Dry: Individual Reproductive Output in Subalpine Bees Declines With Increasing Drought Severity, Wong et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70289
Warming temperatures and decreasing soil moisture are increasing tree mortality in mature Douglas-fir forests of western Oregon, USA, Cline et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110681
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
ARGO: ARctic greenhouse Gas Observation metadata version 1, Vogt et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-17-2553-2025
Climate Warming and Soil Drying Significantly Enhance the Methane Uptake in China’s Grasslands, Wang et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.70286
Improved uncertainty estimates for eddy covariance-based carbon dioxide balances using deep ensembles for gap-filling, Vekuri et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110558
Mature biocrust-covered soil carbon fluxes are dependent on their types: Moss-covered soils still serve as sinks while cyanobacteria-covered soils become sources, Dou & Xiao, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110627
Northern ecosystem productivity reduced by Rossby-wave-driven hot–dry conditions, Lian et al., Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-025-01722-3
Ocean Acidification: Another Planetary Boundary Crossed, Findlay et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70238
Patterns of Ocean Acidification Emergence in the Hawaiian Islands Using Dynamically Downscaled Projections, Hošeková et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Open Access 10.1029/2024jc021903
Permafrost, Peatland, and Cropland Regions Are Key to Reconciling North American Carbon Sink Estimates, Foster et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles Open Access 10.1029/2024gb008460
Soil carbon formation is promoted by saturation deficit and existing mineral-associated carbon, not by microbial carbon-use efficiency, King & Sokol, Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adv9482
Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001
The effect of the frequency of prescribed burning on annual soil carbon balance in a loblolly-shortleaf pine forest in East Texas, Ono et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access 10.3389/ffgc.2025.1602557
The environmentally relevant concentration of triclosan induces carbon dioxide emission in estuarine sediment associated with disrupted microbial metabolism, Huang et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107248
Tree methane exchange in a changing world, Gauci, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-025-00692-9
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
Addressing critiques refines global estimates of reforestation potential for climate change mitigation, Fesenmyer et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-59799-8
CO2 sequestration in geological formations: Insights into mineral reactions and reservoir dynamics, Nazari et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105200
Natural Forest Restoration Potential to Mitigate Climate Change in China, Cheng et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005794
Synergies of storing hydrogen at the crest of CO2${rm CO}&{2}$ or other gas storage, Rhouma et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology Open Access pdf 10.1002/ghg.2278
Decarbonization
Calliope Africa: Modeling the role of storage and transmission for renewable energy integration, Stevanato et al., Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101760
Durability research is pivotal for perovskite photovoltaics, Silverman et al., Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-025-01786-w
Green energy and steel imports reduce Europe’s net-zero infrastructure needs, Neumann et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-60652-1
How would the adoption of French energy technology reduce German and Japanese CO2 emissions?, Martz-Sigala & ten Raa, Asia Europe Journal Open Access 10.1007/s10308-025-00731-6
Impact of large-scale solar on property values in the United States: Diverse effects and causal mechanisms, Hu et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2418414122
Intensifying Renewable Energy Droughts in the Western U.S. Amid Evolving Infrastructure and Climate, Bracken et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005313
Overcoming barriers to heat pump adoption among able-to-pay households, Chitchyan, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114660
Technical and economic analysis for the implementation of photovoltaic systems in agricultural zones of Mexico City: A case study, Guevara et al., Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101743
The assessment of onshore wind energy potential in China’s overseas industrial parks, Song & Wen, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101739
The extra climate benefits of solar farms, Lu, Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-025-01716-1
The high cost of importing green hydrogen from Africa to Europe, , Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-025-01775-z
Geoengineering climate
Effects of ocean alkalinity enhancement on marine diazotrophs, Whitby & Davis, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-025-00685-8
Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention experiment for the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative, Tilmes et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-25-6001-2025
Climate change communications & cognition
Facebook algorithm’s active role in climate advertisement delivery, Sankaranarayanan et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-025-02326-w
Fostering trustworthy information: countering disinformation when there are no bare facts, Boumans et al., Royal Society Open Science Open Access 10.1098/rsos.250654
How media competition fuels the spread of misinformation, Amini et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adu7743
Political differences in climate change knowledge and their association with climate attitudes, behavior, and policy support, Stockus and Zell, Journal of Environmental Psychology Open Access pdf 10.47205/jdss.2021(2-iv)74
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Can wild plant adaptations help crops tolerate heat?, Yeaman, Science 10.1126/science.adw3673
Connecting the Dots: How Communication Strategies Shape Climate Response Behaviors among Smallholder Maize Farmers in Bongo District, Ghana, Apuri et al., Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2025.2519046
Exploring the impact of education on sustainable resource efficiency: the interplay with CO2 emissions, renewable energy, and agriculture in G20 nations, Zhiying & Sidi, Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1623978
Farmers’ climate change perceptions in central Colombia: A propensity score matching approach using protection motivation theory and psychological distance, Cano & Castro-Campos, Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100720
Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation, Hultgren et al., Nature Open Access 10.1038/s41586-025-09085-w
Livelihood adaptation to climate-related changes in agroecological zones in developing countries—challenges, prospects, and policy concerns, Hamer et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1594747
Local to regional-scale mechanisms behind successful climate services for agriculture in Latin America, Giraldo et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100721
Modeling biochar effects on soil organic carbon on croplands in a microbial decomposition model (MIMICS-BC&v1.0), Han et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4871-2024
Safeguarding crop photosynthesis in a rapidly warming world, Bernacchi et al., Science 10.1126/science.adv5413
The political economy of carbon farming: Analyzing agribusiness’ accumulation strategy and the imaginary of soil carbon markets, Hackfort & Haas, Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104123
The TreeChill model: A new framework for predicting the impact of erratic winter weather on trees, Guzmán-Delgado et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110647
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
A pseudo global warming based system to study how climate change affects high impact rainfall events, Lenderink et al., Weather and Climate Extremes 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100781
A Study of Recent Changes in Moisture Flux Patterns Over India: Implications for Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall, Amarjeet et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8927
An integrated modelling framework for evaluating the synergistic impacts of low-carbon transitions and air pollution controls on air quality and health in Guangzhou, China, SHU et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2025.03.010
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the March 2024 Compound Floods and Saharan Dust Outbreak in Europe, Pons et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd042218
Detectable Anthropogenic Influence in Mean Precipitation of China, Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl114870
Evidence of Emerging Increasing Trends in Observed Subdaily Heavy Precipitation Frequency in the United States, Mascaro et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl114292
Impact of Increasing Greenhouse Gases on the Ionosphere and Thermosphere Response to a May 2024-Like Geomagnetic Superstorm, Pedatella et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2025gl116445
Evidence of Emerging Increasing Trends in Observed Subdaily Heavy Precipitation Frequency in the United States, Mascaro et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl114292
Human influence on summer wetting in Northwest China from 1961 to 2014: Roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols, He et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108289
Intensified Tibetan Plateau Spring Warming Exacerbate Summer Extreme Precipitation in Central Asia Since the 2000s, Ma et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2024jd043074
Long eccentricity control on the clay minerals deposition in the northwestern Philippine Sea during the Miocene Climate Optimum, Ren et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104938
Tree ring isotopes reveal an intensification of the hydrological cycle in the Amazon, Cintra et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02408-9
Warming-Induced Increase in Flooding in the Taklimakan Desert, Su et al., Journal of Earth Science 10.1007/s12583-025-2033-0
Climate change economics
Afforestation for climate change mitigation: how impactful is China’s fiscal policy?, Zheng et al., Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2025.2517638
Climate change risks and opportunities: do sustainable business practices matter?, Maji & Boruah , Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2025.2517643
Pricing the green transition: An investment appraisal of Romanian low-carbon steel, B?la?a & Sandberg, Journal of Industrial Ecology Open Access 10.1111/jiec.70054
The impact of climate risk on renewable energy investments, Li et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1614968
Climate change mitigation public policy research
A quiet public? Procedural justice in Portuguese wind energy governance, Oliveira et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104147
Affordable solar for whom? Understanding the effects of a policy intervention on residential solar adoption among vulnerable communities, Kaul & Hernandez-Cortes, Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104122
Driving climate action with the VISUALIZER: A dashboard for transportation emissions data analysis & visualization, Fraser & Gao, Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102459
Integrating electric mobility and distributed solar in carbon-negative Panama: Readiness assessment and policy roadmap for sustainable energy transition, Boya-Lara, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101747
Integrity challenges in carbon markets: Comparing UNFCCC and voluntary REDD+ verification in the Amazon Biome, Yang & Park, Environmental Science & Policy 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104080
Masculinity, femininity, and support for climate policy, Silva et al., Environmental Sociology Open Access 10.1080/23251042.2025.2517426
Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets, Dekker et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-025-02361-7
Supporting building heat decarbonization with heat Pumps: Analysis of subsidy schemes in Swiss leading cantons, Li et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114722
Sustainable energy technology adoption for a low-carbon future: A global meta-analysis of psychological determinants, Eppe et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104152
Unleashing American Energy? Uncertainties in energy transition developments under a new Trump administration, Deberdt et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104169
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
A mental health focus to amplify climate resilience actions, Mishra et al., npj Climate Action Open Access 10.1038/s44168-025-00263-0
Assessment of existing datasets for tracking progress towards the Global Goal on Adaptation (and beyond), Biesbroek et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2025.2517644
Beyond adjustment: A new paradigm for climate change adaptation in a complex world, Amorim-Maia & Olazabal Olazabal , Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103027
Co-benefits of resilience planning: a review of analysis tools and methods, Helgeson et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1539858
Developing practical climate adaptation and mitigation toolkits for Canadian forest-based communities: a systematic review, Antwi et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1578605
Future Spatially Explicit Patterns of Land Transitions in the United States With Multiple Stressors, Gurgel et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005016
Private investments in climate change adaptation are increasing in Europe, although sectoral differences remain, Cortés Arbués et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-025-02454-3
Climate change impacts on human health
Analysis of Malaria Measurements Under Climate Change in Douala, Cameroon: Simulations From the CORDEX-CORE Ensemble, Lenouo et al., Atmospheric Science Letters Open Access 10.1002/asl.1304
Global warming may increase the burden of obstructive sleep apnea, Lechat et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-60218-1
Improving an integrative framework of health system resilience and climate change: Lessons from Bangladesh and Haiti, Ridde et al., PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000512
The impact of hot nights on dengue incidence: a nationwide case crossover study in Brazil, Su et al., Infectious Diseases of Poverty Open Access 10.1186/s40249-025-01326-4
Climate change & geopolitics
Analysing the Global Assembly’s influence: The challenges of linking to the deliberative system of global climate governance, Conway-Lamb et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104124
Dynamic networks of negotiation for international climate change cooperation, Almquist et al., Environmental Sociology Open Access 10.1080/23251042.2025.2507287
Climate change impacts on human culture
Climate change, socioeconomic, environmental, and political drivers of road traffic fatalities in Somalia: a multivariate time series analysis, Ahmed et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2025.1573803
Other
Global health and climate benefits from walking and cycling infrastructure, Millard-Ball et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2422334122
The archaeology of climate change: a blueprint for integrating environmental and cultural systems, Burke et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-025-60450-9
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Address Arctic shipping crisis at COP30, Du et al., Science 10.1126/science.adx4305
Friend or foe? Diesel generators and the global energy transition, Poulton, JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association Open Access 10.1001/jama.1987.03400240091033
Ocean Acidification: Another Planetary Boundary Crossed, Findlay et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70238
Ocean Acidification: Another Planetary Boundary Crossed, Findlay et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.70238
State of polar climate (2024), Ding et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2025.06.001
Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change
2025 Power Report, New York Independent System Operator
The flagship report explores the issues and challenges shaping the grid of the future based on the latest facts and data, information, and figures. This year’s report spotlights the uncertainty inherent in forecasting the adoption of emerging technologies like electric vehicles and electric heating equipment.
Investing in Climate for Growth and Development. The Case for Enhanced NDCs, OECD/UNDP
Climate action has gained momentum over the past decade, driving real economic opportunities. However, current efforts are not keeping pace with rising risks. Slower climate action means delaying investments that are critical to ensure future climate resilience, prosperity and well-being. In 2025 countries have a window of opportunity to regain momentum and realize the multiple benefits of strengthened climate action as they submit updated national climate plans – or Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). This comes as an OECD-UNDP report provides new evidence that accelerating climate action is not only feasible, it also makes economic sense – driving growth, unlocking development dividends and preventing losses from climate disasters.
The Annual Bulletin of Climate Indicators, Servei Meteorològic de Catalunya
The authors analyze the evolution of the recent climate in Catalonia, from various perspectives, and capture the characteristics of the variability and climate change that affects Catalonians. The report has eight chapters that correspond to the eight climate systems or variables monitored: air temperature, precipitation, insolation, climate extremes, secular observatories, synoptic patterns, sea and phenology. This analysis highlights the dynamics of variability and the obvious signs of climate change in the country. In the face of the accelerated advance of global warming driven by human activity, it is essential to have a precise and objective diagnosis to guide efficient adaptation and mitigation strategies. The 2024 edition of the BAIC is fully in line with this purpose (Google Translate).
The State of the World’s Saltmarshes 2025: A Global Call to Action for Coastal Resilience and Adaptation, Brook et al., WWF
The authors integrate saltmarshes into the broader blue carbon agenda – putting them at the heart of global efforts to tackle climate change, restore nature and build coastal resilience. They show just how powerful these tidal wetlands are. From carbon sequestration to natural flood defense to fisheries support, saltmarshes are doing heavy lifting with little recognition. The authors shine a light on what has been lost and continues to be lost where the biggest opportunities lie and what needs to change. They also look at the political tools and funding mechanisms that can turn things around — if action is taken now.
Climate change drives record-breaking heat in Iceland and Greenland challenging cold adapted ecosystems and societies, Kew et al., World Weather Attribution
Researchers from Iceland, the Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, the United States and the United Kingdom collaborated to assess to what extent human-induced climate change altered the likelihood and intensity of the extreme heat in the region. The analysis focuses on the 7 hottest days in May over Iceland, as the heat was long-lasting there and affected more people, and also on the single most hottest May day at stations Ittoqqortoormiit (Eastern coast of Greenland), Egilsstaðir Airport and Reykjavik (Iceland), to examine exceptional heat on local scales. When combining the observation-based analysis with climate models, to quantify the role of climate change in this 7-day heat event, we find that climate models underestimate the increase in heat found in observations, but not by as much as in other regions. Based on the combined analysis we conclude that climate change made the extreme heat about 3°C hotter and about 40 times more likely. There is more uncertainty in the estimate for the increase in likelihood and notably it is much smaller than in other heat attribution studies in extratropical latitudes. Given the known underestimation of temperature trends in climate models, this is thus likely an underestimation.
Doubling down on climate action in highways and transportation, Chartered Institution of Highways & Transportation
The significance of climate change for society and in turn highways and transportation is profound. Taking action to address it has become central to professional concerns. The Chartered Institution of Highways & Transportation (CIHT) accordingly has climate action as one of its three core themes. CIHT embarked in 2024 on an initiative called CLIMATES – Changing Landscapes for Infrastructure and Mobility: Assessing Transport and Environment Scenarios. CLIMATES has sought to better equip professionals to determine their priorities and actions in the present in the face of future climate change possibilities, and to voice opinion across the CIHT membership that can inform how the Institution champions its climate action theme. CLIMATES has been designed to take its participants on a journey with the help of futures techniques. This journey begins with sense-checking concerns about climate change and its effects and examining the climate change outlook. Participants then ‘travel’ to different possible futures for 2035. These are defined by: (1) the extent of progress internationally to contain global greenhouse gas emissions; and (2) the extent of progress nationally on climate action (mitigation, adaptation, and resilience).
Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Haiti, Koefoed et al., The Norwegian Institute of International Affairs and the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
The authors focus on Haiti and the series of conflict- and climate-related issues that face the country. They offer a range of recommended actions for the international community to address these issues effectively. Located on the Atlantic hurricane belt, Haiti is susceptible to earthquakes and is particularly vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change due to its geographical location as well as political instability, extreme poverty and gang violence. Rising sea levels, changing precipitation patterns and frequent natural disasters and extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, floods, droughts, landslides and earthquakes, exacerbate the country’s humanitarian crisis. Flooding during El Niño years worsens existing food insecurity and drives displacement, increasing population pressure on host communities and fueling social tensions.
Rethinking biofuels in the US Midwest, Leslie-Bole et al., World Resources Institute
The authors discuss the environmental, economic and social impacts of first-generation biofuels in the Midwest. They analyze how policies promoting corn- and soy-based biofuels—often funded by taxpayers—contribute to land use change, rising greenhouse gas emissions, water degradation and unequal economic benefits. With interest in using biofuels for aviation increasing, the authors urge policymakers to re-evaluate the role of biofuels in future climate and agricultural policy and to explore more sustainable, equitable alternatives for Midwestern communities and ecosystems.
Weathering the Storm. Managing Monsoons in a Warming Climate, Abinash Mohanty and Krishna Vsav, IPE Global
The authors analyze district-level spatial and temporal assessments coupled with dynamic ensemble climate modelling to develop heat stress scenarios for 2030 and 2040, correlating how it can trigger incessant and erratic extreme rainfall events. The authors found that by 2030, climate change is expected to drive 43 per cent rise in intensity of extreme rainfall events across India, making the country hotter and wetter. Mumbai, Chennai, Delhi, Surat, Thane, Hyderabad, Patna and Bhubaneswar are projected going to witness two-fold increase in heat wave days. Extended heat wave conditions are likely to trigger more frequent, and incessant and erratic rainfall events. 8 out of 10 districts in India are going to experience multiple instances of incessant and erratic rainfall by 2030. The frequency, intensity, and unpredictability of these extreme heat and rainfall events have risen significantly in recent decades.
Three Key Outcomes of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” on US Manufacturing and Innovation, King et al., Rhodium Group
The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA) budget reconciliation bill passed by the House raises energy costs on consumers and businesses and pushes down on demand for clean energy technologies by effectively repealing a number of energy-related tax credits. There are additional important implications of the House bill for US technology investment, manufacturing, and innovation including nearly all states face the threat of lost investment from the House bill, which totals $522 billion nationally, with the top 10 states comprising 62% of this investment; lower demand for clean technologies, such as electric vehicles (EVs) and solar paired with the loss of support for clean technology manufacturing, could stall growth in the burgeoning clean manufacturing industry in the US, which contributed $14 billion to economic growth in the first quarter of 2025l and emerging clean technologies like advanced nuclear and geothermal face disproportionate risk from the House bill given their long development timelines and challenges in finding affordable capital, with at least 2.2 GW of first-of-a-kind and early commercial deployments facing an uncertain future.
U.S. Clean Energy Policy Rollbacks. The Economic and Public Health Impacts Across States, Zhao et al., Center for Global Sustainability, University of Maryland
Over the coming decade, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL), EPA regulations on power plants and tailpipe emissions, and other existing federal clean energy policies are expected to provide a range of economic and health benefits for American communities in addition to accelerating the clean energy transition. The authors found that rolling back these clean energy policies can cause substantial damages to economic and health outcomes across the country, resulting in a $1.1 trillion reduction in U.S. GDP by 2035, a $160 billion cumulative income loss, and at least 22,800 additional deaths of Americans cumulatively over the next decade.
2025 State of Reliability. Assessment Overview of 2024 Bulk Power System Performance, North American Electric Reliability Corporation
The authors found that the North American bulk power system (BPS) remained reliable and resilient in 2024. The authors show that today’s transmission system is demonstrably more reliable and resilient with the severity and duration of outages declining, and system restoration times growing shorter. However, newer and emerging risks are challenging grid reliability in new ways, which will require agility to better assess these risks, and develop and implement mitigations, all while the system undergoes rapid transformation.
House Budget Bill Puts Over Two Million Jobs at Risk. State-Level Analysis of Employment Risk Under a Repeal of Clean Manufacturing Tax Credits, BlueGreen Alliance
Congressional Republicans are currently moving budget bills that repeal or restrict clean manufacturing tax credits through the reconciliation process. As of the drafting of this brief, the U.S. House has passed its version of the bill, and the U.S. Senate is in the process of drafting its version. Republicans in Congress and the administration have stated they hope to have a final bill on President Trump’s desk by July 4, though that deadline is subject to change. The authors conducted an analysis of the potential effects of the policies in the House bill on the employment footprint of manufacturing and found that repealing the clean manufacturing tax credits puts over two million jobs at risk.
National Climate League Report (Canada), Muhajarine et al., The Canadian branch of The Climate Reality Project
The authors reviewed the climate plans and policies of 53 municipalities across Canada to gather information to answer a set of questions relating to 23 policy indicators, while reaching out to local officials to fill the gaps. The authors focus this year was on policies and examining the connection between these policies and measurable outcomes. The survey included municipalities from all 10 Canadian provinces; from municipalities of 15,000 people to over a million.
Sydney as a Renewable Energy Zone: A metropolis of energy equity, affordability and abundance, Committee for Sydney, Arup and Arcadis
This is a once-in-a-generation opportunity for Metropolitan Sydney to help keep the lights on, reach net zero, and make energy cheaper and more accessible to households and businesses to achieve energy equity. This is possible by accelerating renewable energy generation and storage at local, district and Sydney-wide scales. Sydney could meet at least 75% of its annual energy needs through rooftop solar paired with battery storage. While central business district (CBD) buildings might cover only 5% of their energy needs through rooftop solar, industrial estates could produce between 500% to 1000% of their energy requirements, creating substantial excess power that could benefit nearby residential areas, including apartment buildings that currently lack access to solar. The existing electricity distribution network across Sydney is already in place and underutilized, presenting an immediate opportunity to boost local energy independence and reliability. However, the barriers to realizing this opportunity are real.
Insurers Retreat as 2025 Wildfire Risk Reaches Dangerous Levels, Deep Sky
Insurance companies are abandoning homeowners in the highest risk wildfire areas. They cannot charge prices high enough to take on the risk they see coming. Exiting the market has become their last resort. In California, 1 in 5 homes in the most extreme fire risk areas has lost coverage since 2019. There are now over 150,000 uninsured households in these areas in California alone. Insurance markets are a leading indicator of how financial markets will deal with the climate crisis. Just as insurers will not do business in key areas now, so too will investors avoid those kinds of risks. Insurance markets may be the first to show the effects of the climate crisis but the disruption won’t stop there. Home insurance premiums have shot up 42% in the most fire prone areas of California. One in five homes in extreme fire risk areas of California has lost coverage since 2019. Spring fire risk in the U.S. Southwest and Northern Mexico has reached a ten-year record
Caution Required: Protecting Communities from Carbon Markets, Kelly Stone and Doug Hertzler, ActionAid USA
Carbon markets promise quick, easy climate “solutions,” but the authors show they routinely fail to cut emissions. Instead, they fuel corporate greenwashing, land grabs, and human-rights abuses across the Global South. The authors draws on Kenya’s long history of offset projects and Liberia’s emerging deals (notably with Blue Carbon) to expose patterns of violence, livelihood loss, and communities selling their future out of urgent need for revenue. It is time to demand robust safeguards—and real, grant-based climate finance that truly protects people and the planet.
Clima incierto: percepciones sobre el cambio climático y migración (, Sánchez Carrasc et al., Universidad Loyola, Granada
Nuestro estudio en seis municipios del departamento de Copán, Honduras, muestra que muchas personas ya están notando cómo el cambio climático está afectando sus vidas, especialmente en la agricultura. Las sequías, lluvias irregulares y tormentas intensas están dañando los cultivos, lo que genera preocupación e incertidumbre sobre el futuro. Aunque la mayoría de las personas no quieren irse, el deterioro del medio ambiente, sumado a la pobreza y la falta de apoyo gubernamental, lleva a muchos a pensar en migrar como una salida. (Our study in six municipalities in the department of Copán, Honduras, shows that many people are already noticing how climate change is affecting their lives, especially in agriculture. Droughts, erratic rains and intense storms are damaging crops, leading to concern and uncertainty about the future. Although most people do not want to leave, the deterioration of the environment, coupled with poverty and lack of government support, leads many to think of migrating as a way out, GOogle Translate)
The Banking on Climate Chaos: Fossil Fuel Finance Report 2025, Schwartz et al., The Sierra Club
The authors examine the lending and underwriting activities of the world’s top 65 banks to more than 2,700 fossil fuel companies. While the world’s top scientists from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and others have repeatedly stated there can be no new fossil fuel expansion in a net-zero by 2050 scenario, banks have ignored this climate risk and continue to increase their financing for dirty energy companies expanding fossil fuel infrastructure. This financing comes amid a rapid retreat from climate commitments made by many banks at COP26 in Glasgow in 2021. The 65 biggest banks globally committed $869 B USD to companies conducting business in fossil fuels in 2024. The 65 biggest banks globally committed $429 B USD to companies expanding fossil fuel production and infrastructure in 2024. Over 2/3 of banks covered in this report 45 banks) increased their fossil fuel financing from 2023 to 2024. 48 of the 65 banks in this report increased fossil fuel expansion finance from 2023 to 2024.
The US Reliability Challenge and the Value of Flexibility, Williams et al., Aurora Energy Research
The electric grid faces a new reliability crisis as traditional peak-focused planning misses emerging shoulder month vulnerabilities. When thermal plants take maintenance outages during these periods, dangerous reliability gaps emerge that current metrics like Effective Load Carrying Capability (ELCC) fail to capture. AI-driven demand growth is accelerating this problem, requiring a fundamental shift to year-round reliability planning and unprecedented grid flexibility. Traditional reliability planning misses the danger of shoulder months when baseload thermal plants take maintenance outages. Current capacity metrics fail to capture these periods of concern, creating blind spots that could trigger unexpected blackouts. ERCOT will face load shedding in both summer and shoulder months by 2030 under current thermal outage conditions. Additionally, demand swings are growing—16% of hours will need 10GW+ ramps by 2035, underscoring the need for a fleet of flexible resources to maintain reliability. Smart demand response from data centers could eliminate the need for 10GW of new generation in ERCOT by 2030. Batteries and peaking gas are reducing strain on baseload plants and preventing costly cycling. Mastering flexibility economics will define grid success in the next decade.
Swiss Re SONAR. New emerging risk insights, Anchen et al., Swiss Re Institute
This year’s SONAR report identifies eight emerging risks, such as the impacts of extreme heat, fungal disease spreading and building fungicide resistance, harm caused by plastics, and potential claims from increased consumption of ultra-processed foods. The report also raises five significant structural risks facing insurers.
Climate Change in the American Mind: Politics & Policy, Spring 2025, Leiserowitz et al., Yale University and George Mason University
This report is based on findings from a nationally representative survey. Interview dates: May 1 -12, 2025. Interviews: 1,040 adults (18+), 915 of whom are registered to vote. Average margin of error for registered voters: +/- 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. 52% of registered voters think global warming should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress. 64% of registered voters think developing sources of clean energy should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress. Majorities of registered voters support a range of policies to reduce carbon pollution and promote clean energy. These include, 88% support federal funding to help farmers improve practices to protect and restore the soil so it absorbs and stores more carbon; 80% support funding more research into renewable energy sources; 75% support regulating carbon dioxide as a pollutant; 71% support tax credits or rebates to encourage people to buy electric appliances, such as heat pumps and induction stoves; 67% support transitioning the U.S. economy from fossil fuels to 100% clean energy by 2050 ; and 63% support requiring fossil fuel companies to pay for the damages caused by global warming.
Climate-related risks in financial regulation and supervision in APAC. A policy landscape analysis, Martindale et al., United Nations Environment Programme
The authors assess how Asia-Pacific central banks and banking supervisors are leveraging prudential regulation—rules and requirements intended to ensure the financial sector’s stability and soundness—in relation to climate change within their respective mandates.
New Zealand at climate change crossroads, AMI, State and NZI, IAG New Zealand
New Zealanders are expecting more extreme weather events as a result of climate change. They want more to be done to reduce the risks and costs of these events to help keep insurance affordable and available. 90% of New Zealanders anticipate more extreme storms, 89% foresee more frequent and intense flooding, and 88% expect coastal flooding due to rising sea levels. As New Zealanders brace for a future shaped by more frequent and severe climate events, many expect the cost of these events to be reflected in insurance premiums.
Voters Are Concerned About Rising Costs and Think Climate Change Will Financially Affect Them, Brynne Robbins and Elias Kemp, Data for Progress
Voters nearly universally believe that energy and environmental issues are important to address. This holds across party lines: 95% of Democrats, 94% of Independents, and 88% of Republicans indicate that energy and environmental issues are either important or a top priority to them. However, the degree of importance varies significantly with party affiliation. Nearly half (49%) of Democrats say energy and environmental issues are a top priority, while only a third (33%) of Independents and just under a quarter (23%) of Republicans feel the same. When asked whether they believe climate change will have a direct financial impact on them and their family, a majority (58%) of likely voters say it will impact them either greatly or somewhat. Democrats most commonly believe this, with 73% saying that they will be either greatly or somewhat impacted, while only 41% of Republicans believe the same. Just 52% of white voters predict they’ll be impacted, compared with 64% of Black voters and 73% of Latino voters. Women (62%), voters under 45 (66%), and voters with a college degree (60%) also predict greater financial impact.
Two-thirds of Canadians favour developing clean energy over fossil fuels, while 85% wish to maintain or increase federal climate action, Abacus Data, Clean Energy Canada
Two-thirds of Canadians say they would prioritize clean over conventional energy. Specifically, 67% of respondents say that, assuming both were priorities, they would generally favor clean energy projects such as critical minerals, renewable power and transmission, and energy storage. The remaining 33% would prefer conventional fossil fuel projects like oil and gas, including LNG development. Asked how crucial the two energy sectors will be to the Canadian economy over the next decade, 87% say clean energy will be very (45%) or pretty (42%) important, while 83% say fossil fuels will be very (36%) or pretty (47%) important. In other words, the four-point advantage for clean energy increases to nine points among those who see at least one of these sectors as “very important.”
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